Inside the Mechanics of a V-shape Reversal

I don’t know if today’s candlestick hammer in the S&P 500 represents the low that will take us back to new highs, but it should come as no surprise if it does. If the market follows the protocol over the last two years then the odds are high that the low is in for now. Over […]

Read More →

Read More →

Finding That Bottom & Why I Bought GOOGL Today

Every once in a while preparation meets luck and magic happens. Yesterday afternoon I tweeted this to my subscribers    This morning per my thoughts above I was patient and waited to see if we flushed. I know I could have been wrong, but easier to be wrong while waiting patiently on the sidelines instead […]

Read More →

Read More →

Determine Your Next Market Move

Last week here  I discussed how the start of the week would likely determine the next short term move. On Monday after failing to move higher and based on the instances I highlighted in that post, we were able to determine the risk/reward favored a further pullback. On Monday I tweeted out:  In that case things […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 10/03/14

With the rally that took place the end of Friday, it just puts us back into rangebound chop. It leaves things in a very uncertain place with no trend. It could be that we hit a bottom already and we fly back up or it could have been just been some oversold levels relieving themselves. I...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set ups for Week Starting 9/29/14

So I have good news and I have bad news. The bad news is that it is very uncertain if we reached a low and will now rally back to highs. The good news is that based on the last couple years, we should know very early in the week. I will highlight that information on...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Bad Breadth? New Highs? How About Some Sassy Insight…

  Irony at its finest! Ok, so maybe breadth is not breath, but you get the point. Of course the poor breadth measures that I’m sure you have read about is anything but a call for the bears to hibernate. The fact is, based on weakening internals, seasonality, and other facts that I have read […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 9/22/14

I’m sure you have noticed that this current market is extremely tricky. I for one can’t recall a time where the people I follow and talk to (including some hedge fund and institutional guys) are so split in their opinion of what is going forward. Notice I used the word “opinion.” Since really this market...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 9/26/14 Expiration

The note I provided in the set-ups is pretty much the same note I am putting here. We are in a very uncertain environment and unfortunately this open interest doesn’t provide too many clues about the overall market (except for adding evidence that the market is in a very odd spot). One thing I am...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Bears, Don’t Get Excited Just Yet

For those of you following my blog you know that I have had two posts regarding the last two-years of V-shape bottoms and what their history tells us. If you missed them, you can view them here and here. I have been keeping track of the most recent V-shaped bottom from August 7th and comparing […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 9/15/14

I have some overall comments about the market in the open interest post, but just to reiterate, next week I think is very tricky. The market is very neutral here. I can see how it looks bearish, but you also know how many times that happens and there is no follow through. Plus we have...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 9/20/14 Expiration

Next week is monthly expiration and triple witching so it’s a big OPEX. The calls and put walls tend to hold fairly well during monthly OPEX. Having said that I think next week is going to be very tricky. The market itself looks a little heavy; however, we just had a great breakout in financials,...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 9/8/14

Lately I haven’t been taking many swing trades because the trend – although up, has been lacking momentum. My bias for next week is sideways to higher; however until we see real follow through (up or down) then I think side-ways chop is most likely. Given that we are in a bull market, as usual pretty...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 9/12/14

Next week is all over the map. I really think it’s better to see how things shake out early in the week because I get the feeling that these open interest graphs are going to shift around a lot next week. Also, be aware that there is a theory going around that momo’s will sell...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

More For the Bulls to Cheer

The hallmark of this bull market has been rotation and for this rally to continue further that is what I expect will be the case. I tracked new highs from V-shaped reversals from late 2012 to this most recent pull-back and based on the average returns and length of the rally, the market has more upside […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 9/2/14

We might get new money flow next week, but the way I see it is we will have more rotation than huge rallies in the indexes. We have a shortened week so be careful with weekly options. I am actually not too excited about most of the momo names (you can see my open interest...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 9/5/14

Based on all the open interest I expect mostly chop next week and see more opportunities in fading rallies than going long them. When I say that I don’t mean that I think they will drop hard, but that if they get over their call walls and don’t keep running it’s probably worth selling a...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Another V-Shaped Rally to New Highs, What’s Next?

Since 2013 V-shaped bottom’s have been the modus operandi and this recent one has been no different, the S&P 500 rallying to new highs only 15 days after a 4.3% correction. Above is a chart that highlights all of those rallies from the bottom to the where the rally begins to stall and consolidate before then […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 8/25/14

Well, pretty amazing run. The way I see it right now is that SPX ran huge, but not all stocks participated. In the last two years every time we get a V-bottom we don’t end up having much of a retrace. We typically chop for a while before new highs. So if the indexes spend...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 8/29/14

SPY: Well as if 200 wasn’t going to be resistance anyway. Let’s see if price gets over those calls and if the OI shifts. SPY could use a rest anyway.    AAPL: This is the first time in a really long time that the puts are this high compared to the calls. AAPL may be...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Guest Post: NRG Bullish Option Trade

Guest post written by Jerremy Newsome: @newsomenuggets After reviewing the energy sector I came across NRG, which broke through strong resistance in March after two failed attempts in October (see arrows). Recently the stock has retraced its entire bullish wave {from March to late June} back to that support at $29.00.  On August 19th a one […]

Read More →

Read More →

A Look at Breadth During Corrections Over 5% Since March 2009

Above is a chart displaying each correction over 5% since the March 2009 bottom (plus the recent 4.3% decline) color coded to the percentage of stocks that traded above the 50-day moving average during the correction. The following is based on an idea I got from Charlie Bilello’s work about the types of corrections we have […]

Read More →

Read More →

Is The Easy Money Over?

Since the recent 4.3% correction/pull-back from the high of 1991 on July 24th to a low of 1905 on August 2nd we have rallied 3.1% in just six trading days. The S&P 500 closed slightly above the 50-day moving average and based on recent market behavior after pull-backs, it would seem the easy money has been […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week of 8/18/14

I’m not sure what to expect next week. We have come a long way from 1900 in a short period of time and SPX held above the 50-day. However, as large as that moves seems it could still be a bounce. Holding the 50-day next week will be good and will lead me to think...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Options Expiration 8/22/14

SPY: As of now this tells me we see some chop next week. If SPY does get over 197 and those calls don’t close out or it doesn’t convincingly get over them then it’s possibly worth a shot to get puts at least as a hedge since we have longs.  AAPL: Nice close Friday, has...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Taking Out the Premium #SassyMusings 8/14/14

That is what the market was up to today. Good job to anyone that sold premium this morning. Yields going back down and supposedly banks are a tiny bit (as in barely) more loose with their lending so go get that mortgage. GRUB was a huge win yesterday in case you missed me bragging about […]

Read More →

Read More →

A Whole Lot of Nothing Going on, but…#SassyMusings 8/12/14

But….I met Josh Brown who is one of the nicest most dynamic men I have ever met and look forward to upcoming interactions with him. I got to meet Barry Ritholz for a second as well; a bonus to an already awesome experience.  Now regarding the markets today. Meh. They staged a small bounce in the […]

Read More →

Read More →

Reasons For & Against The Market Continuing Higher

This post is written with regard to the short term trend. For the market going higher short term: We have not repaired being oversold on several metrics. The two charts displayed below are of S&P stocks making 20-day lows and S&P stocks below their 50-day MA   Since 2013 all small dips have been buying opportunities. […]

Read More →

Read More →

Back to Your Regular Scheduled Bull Market Or?

With headline risk recently heating up, the SPX under its 50-day MA and the IWM under its 200-day MA things seem a bit murkier than they have in our previous quick stanp-back corrections that began in 2013. Furthermore, the impressive streak the European markets have had, notably the Germany’s Dax index, ended at the end […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 8/11/14

Well we finally got a decent bounce on Friday after waiting for it all week. Was that the bottom? I have no clue, but it doesn’t really matter either. For now we go with the bounce and see where it takes us. If SPY falls below 192, it will be less convincing that it was...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 8/16/14

This is the monthly expiration so many of the heavy calls strikes (and sometimes puts depending on how heavy the market is) become walls. SPY: Unfortunately there is not too much we can glean from this open interest right now because there aren’t any outlier strikes here. 192 holding would be a good first step.  AAPL:...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Nice Winners in a Slow Downtrend #SassyMusings 8/7/14

Very interesting the way the sell-off happened today. The first time SPX was making new lows, but there was divergences with breadth and some momo stocks either going up or holding well. Second time was a bit more pronounced, but still not crazy heavy as we have seen before. As I’ve been saying one of […]

Read More →

Read More →

Patiently Waiting #SassyMusings 8/5/14

There is a bounce coming somewhere. We have had three sessions in a row with a negative 1400 $TICK and the charts I have been posting regarding being oversold are either at levels we bounce off or very close. However, as I said this weekend in my Post Where’s the Bounce Yo,  it seems too many […]

Read More →

Read More →

All About PCLN #SassyMusings 8/4/14

And I find it so unfortunate that I was not in it and did not participate in the fun. Very slow start to the day that ended up going much higher. I’m not sure if it was pure buying or short covering, but either way it went up. If we continue higher tomorrow in the […]

Read More →

Read More →

Where’s the Bounce Yo? + Overcoming FOMO

There is no doubt that their was damage done last week. Not just to the charts, but probably your psyche. Traders have been trained to buy every dip over the last couple of years, but last week, bounces were shallow and sold into. If you tried to catch a bounce and it didn’t work, let […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 8/8/14 Expiration

SPY: We are already starting off way below those puts so unless we gap up strong there is nothing preventing us from going lower except the oversold readings we have. If we start pushing up through those puts, then all those puts could escalate the rally as market makers buy SPY to stay delta hedged. ...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 8/4/14

Trend: Short-term: bearish Intermediate: mixed Long term: bullilsh We are in murky waters right now. Unless we are entering bear market territory, which is unlikely at this point, we are going to have a pretty decent rally at some point next week. When that happens we are not going to know yet if it is...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Down Down Down #SassyMusings 7/31/14

All day long. Never fun when you are long positions. I am glad that I have been mostly staying away from short dated options. Maybe new month money comes in tomorrow for a decent rally? I think it could happen also taking into account being short-term oversold. Then the question is, have we seen the […]

Read More →

Read More →

All Eyes on TWTR #SassyMusings 7/29/14

Actually your eyes are probably on TWTR often, but this time I mean the stock not your feed. Very nice day overall for my positions. Kind of in a rush today so not going to update all the positions I’ve mentioned in my #SassyMusings. I did sell the QQQ calls from yesterday though which was […]

Read More →

Read More →

A Bit of a Market Surprise #SassyMusings 7/28/14

Ok let’s be honest, a strong bounce off lows this morning really isn’t any surprise. At least it shouldn’t be. Things definitely looked bearish this morning, but the bearish stuff I read all weekend was a little much. Seemed everyone was expecting a correction. I just can’t follow along when we are clearly in an […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 8/1/14

SPY: We have a very large range here and perhaps we will get a large range of choppiness next week with GDP, Fed rates decision and Jobs #’s. 196 is where we can look for support and an area to get long if it gets there. With regard to going  higher, it has room to...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Volatility Perking Up Next Week?

Below is an excerpt of what I wrote last weekend.  Indeed we did see strength followed by weakness and a close below 198. Despite many bullish earnings releases on some of the momo names such as AAPL, FB, and BIDU the market is showing some relative weakness particularly in the IWM. We have seen this […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 7/28/14

Hope everyone is having a nice weekend. I think there is a good chance we are in for chop next week and a pick up in volatility. We have more earnings, GDP, the Fed, and Jobs #’s. My hope is that we start the week off weak in which I will buy dips (as long...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Shorts Taking it on the Chin #SassyMusings 7/24/14

And the saga continues. Today was Z and TRLA. Man that had to have hurt. Very choppy day. Was a balancing day. Trend still bullish. However, with those small pullbacks we keep getting I say better to go out further out if using options. That way if you get stopped out there is still premium […]

Read More →

Read More →

You Would be on Cloud Nine if….#SassyMusings 7/23/14

If you had bought a ton of PBYI calls yesterday. Oh well! Regardless biotech in general is also doing nicely and there are a lot of names I am very interested in getting long. GILD can make that even better if they report well. Being patient for now. AAPL monster today and dips should be […]

Read More →

Read More →

Rangebound Digestion #SassyMusings 7/22/14

So everyone eats burrito’s and CMG is a monster, while NFLX is just meh. I posted this morning that the risk for NFLX this week was to the downside based on below and that investors obviously weren’t that impressed.  Next up, AAPL. Yes the bulls are still in charge. SPY went though the 198 calls and […]

Read More →

Read More →

Let the Games Begin #SassyMusings 7/21/14

Let the fireworks begin! CMG and NFLX – fun times!!! Market just hanging out as if it is waiting for the next catalyst to make a move. Earnings could potentially be that catalyst, but until we see a bigger move the trend remains intact. As I said over the weekend I am currently working under […]

Read More →

Read More →

Only Earnings Can Save Us Now

Just kidding. Everything saves this market. Regardless I don’t see us out of the woods just yet. We had a remarkable turnaround on Friday, but I wouldn’t say the coast is clear. As I’ve been saying for several weeks now the short term trend is choppy consolidation. The longer term and intermediate term trend is […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 7/25/14 Expiration

Many of these names have earnings next week so these graphs aren’t that useful just yet. After they report though I will update their charts and post them by morning so we can see if price gets affected by high calls or puts anywhere. The overall market I’m just not sure about. I know everyone...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups For Week Starting 7/21/14

The simple truth of the matter is no one has a clue what ride this market is going to take us on next week. If they say they do and you follow them on twitter, I recommend you unfollow them. Historically we are entering into a seasonally weak period. I definitely do not let that...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Not so Pretty #SassyMusings 7/17/14

In the scheme of things what the market did today really isn’t bad. We are still near all time highs; however, if you are holding call options it seems really bad. I definitely got hurt today. Luckily I have for the most part stayed very light (mentioned over the weekend and the last two weeks) Choppy action […]

Read More →

Read More →

It’s a Sea of Mixed Messages #SassyMusings 7/16/14

Old tech is back! Actually it’s kind of been back this entire year. As long as I can make money off of it I don’t care. On Monday I couldn’t think of a good chart to post for my chart of the day so I thought I would give a set up that I had, MSFT– […]

Read More →

Read More →

Welcome Wall Streets Newest Analyst #SassyMusings 7/15/14

Warm welcome to Wall Streets newest Street analyst, Janet Yellen. Banks have delivered this quarter and I’m pretty sure a lot of people are unhappy to see their theories get trashed. Given that much of what was sold off recovered by the end of the day, is anyone taking Yellen seriously or are they just […]

Read More →

Read More →

Well, ummm…. #SassyMusings 7/14/14

I wish I had something eye opening to say, but yeah ummm, I really don’t. I came in holding V and AAPL which I sold out of and kept a runner. I bought GRUB today and it looks good so far. Little bit of a fade toward the end of the day, but I am […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 7/19/14

The main takeaway that I glean from this and where the overall market is that we will remain in a rangebound choppy market next week. SPY: Just based on this alone, I see a range of 195 to 199, which tends to be more bullish than bearish as we have room to go up more...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-Ups For Week Starting 7/14/14

Hope you are all enjoying your weekend. Here is the current market picture: Long term trend: up Intermediate term trend: up Short term trend: range-bound, possible pullback There are times when I have trouble choosing from so many set-ups and times when I find few and don’t trust the market environment for even those that I...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Cautious in an Uptrend + SPY Open Interest

Last weekend I discussed being very much on the sidelines as I saw the possibility of rangebound action or a pull-back. The IWM, just as it did a few months ago led the way down last week.  Although the Russel is helpful in gauging the overall risk appetite of the market, it should not be […]

Read More →

Read More →

If I Was a Bear… #SassyMusings 7/10/14

…..I would be hopeless today. If I had come in a bull, I would have come in super annoyed that all my longs were down, but would probably have hopium that they come back (yet not actually thinking they would). Well I guess hopium worked….that or the PPT. I have been keeping things light and don’t […]

Read More →

Read More →

Snoozefest #SassyMusings 7/9/14

I’m not sure if the market is getting more boring or if my boredom levels are more sensitive. FB which I bought yesterday off the 50-day (I tweeted a chart of it yesterday) worked nicely. I’m out of the trade for now. So far the bounce I discussed on the Option House pre-market show today […]

Read More →

Read More →

Timber!!! #SassyMusings 7/8/14

I’m writing this before the close cause I have to leave early so if something crazy happened at the end of the day some of this won’t be relevant. My IWM call buys that I mentioned yesterday sure didn’t work. But boy am I glad I sold out of most of my long runners yesterday while […]

Read More →

Read More →

Taking a Breather #SassyMusings 7/7/14

A bit of a healthy consolidation day. The selling was never heavy or panicky. I still think we will likely stay below those calls in the SPY open interest that I highlighted this weekend. The IWM not pretty today, but I actually bought calls at the end of the day near the 20-day. I’m thinking […]

Read More →

Read More →

Higher and Higher and Higher

When will it run out of gas???? I honestly have no idea, but I will say that this market is certaninly unreal. I am very thankful that I have been on the right side of it and benefitting along with other bulls. We are at all time highs, we had good job numbers (on the […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 7/7/14

For now price is telling us that things are bullish. The set-ups I posted are all long and some of them I would like to try to get on a pull-back. There are a decent amount of set-ups below, but I want to keep my trades limited because I think it is important to see what...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 7/11/14

I see the possibility of a pullback or rangebound consolidation in the indexes. Depending on the extent if that is the case, some of these momo’s won’t work long so as always I will do my best to trade what I see. With earnings coming up we may see some run-ups into them so that...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Shorts Crushed….Again! #SassyMusings 7/1/14

This will be one of my worst posts, but it already feels like the holiday started. Bottom line, overbought or not things are still moving and I think if we keep going higher it won’t be so great for the market, but if we just consolidate sideways then really no reason to short just yet. […]

Read More →

Read More →

ZZZZZZ #SassyMusings 6/30/14

The only thing I posted publicly this weekend was this tweet:  I was much more detailed to my subscribers and so far it was OK. Nothing breathtaking. I came in holding SINA as I mentioned last week in my SassyMusings. I bought GS and AAPL this morning. And I started position in BIDU and V […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 7/3/14 Expiration

Keep in mind that all weekly options you buy expire Thursday at 1:00pm EST. Overall I actually some pretty decent opportunities to get long and try to get quick gains. AAPL: I see a lot of people bullish and admit the chart looks rather enticing. I think if it can really get above the second...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week starting 6/30/14

Hope everyone is having a nice weekend. Keep in mind that next week is a short week and markets close on Thursday at 1:00pm EST. Things appear bullish for the most part, but I still think we aren’t out of the woods. Because of that I want to keep myself from being too overly exposed....

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Go USA – Sort Of #SassyMusings 6/26/14

Well Team USA didn’t win, but whatever we qualified. I don’t have too much time today and am mentally exhausted so will keep this short. I’ve mentioned for two days that I really lightened up cause I thought we would go lower before higher and we did in fact do that, but barely so I […]

Read More →

Read More →

Really Must Suck Being a Bear #SassyMusings 6/25/14

Well glad that my short term bearishness yesterday didn’t get the best of me. Good thing I’m not stubborn. I got stopped out of my FB puts early this morning for a loss and then got long a couple things. I am still leaning short term bearish, meaning I see the possibility of going lower […]

Read More →

Read More →

Sell Sell Sell! #SassyMusings 6/24/14

Well it was bound to happen. Can’t make money everyday. Well maybe you can, but I don’t. I’m kidding by the way regarding the title. Got stopped out of several stocks today. Some still in profit and some for a loss. The ones I think I mentioned yesterday I am basically all out of now. […]

Read More →

Read More →

Individual Stocks Keep on Paying #SassyMusings 6/23/14

Nothing to complain about here. Good day for us. I came in holding DDD and GOOGL calls. I bought FSLR right off the open when it was down and sold a 1/4 more of my swing calls that I bought when it was at 61. I sold the rest of my CELG. I stopped out […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 6/27/14

Don’t have any overall comments so will go straight into it. AAPL: I did NOT like how it closed on Friday and I’m holding options for two weeks out. I don’t know what that dump was about and we will just have to see what happens Monday morning. I will do my best to get...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 6/23/14

Hope everyone is having a nice weekend. Once again I found a ton of good set-ups. Honestly there were so many it was hard for me to pick among them so as usual I may throw some out there during the week that aren’t here. Once again I cannot take all of them and I...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

That Was So 2013 Yo

The first half of 2014 has almost become a faint memory. The last few weeks have been amazing for those that were on the right side of the market. The bulls are having a party and the bears have once again proven that being stubborn only hurts themselves. However, as a participant in this recent run-up […]

Read More →

Read More →

Have You Heard the One About a Dull Market? #SassyMusings 6/19/14

Never short it, Yo. Speaking of Yo, if you want to Yo me I’m as Sassyspy Great day to be long CELG, which I mentioned here two days ago. Of the other ones I mentioned here, GOOGL looks good, OWW looks good, YHOO – meh, and ABBV (mentioned on TWTR) – meh. If you want another […]

Read More →

Read More →

It’s a Bull Market You Know #SassyMusings 6/17/14

O-M-G, today, this week, this month, AMAZING!!! If you missed this latest move I’m sorry, but maybe you should take a minute and ask yourself why? Were you stubborn, just didn’t believe it, following someone else? I am not trying to sound like some master. I definitely am not. Anyone can make money in this […]

Read More →

Read More →

Sund-oops, I Mean, Monday Fun-day #SassyMusings

  If the above was you, then I imagine you were short today. Some days a mixture of homework, preparation and luck just makes for a fantastic day. Today was one of those days. Had a huge day in TSLA, SPWR, TWTR, FSLR and TRLA (the last two of which I wrote that I bought last week […]

Read More →

Read More →

Iraq, Fed, Triple Witching and Stocks to Watch

The last few weeks I have discussed the trend being up and the 2013 type of environment we had. It was good for those that were long. Momentum began to slow last week which should not have come as a surprise as the market had become overbought according to many different measures. I still believe […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 6/16/14

Hope everyone is enjoying their weekend. I don’t quite know what to expect next week, but my guess is some chop, profit taking and dips being bought. I also want to see what sectors are hot next week. Energy picked up again last week and I will look for continuation there and see if financials can continue to...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 6/21/14 Expiration

I typically like to monthly ones better because they tend to be more effective. Unfortunately, many of these are all over the place and don’t have clear ranges including SPY. But we will take a look anyway and try to find short term opportunities with them. SPY: Completely all over the place, which is also...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Bulls Fumble #SassyMusings 6/12/14

Another odd day when the indexes were dropping, but there were pockets of strength. To be honest, I didn’t even realize the indexes were dropping at first this morning cause pretty much all my stocks were going up. Unfortunately that changed, but luckily the damage wasn’t horrible for my stocks. I said yesterday that we […]

Read More →

Read More →

Bear Tease #SassyMusings 6/11/14

Ouch, that had to have hurt if you have been bearish for a few weeks. Still getting that 2013 type of market. Ride it until it doesn’t work is better than trying to time the end of it. First, if you haven’t checked out my pre-market interview this morning on Benzinga, check it out :-). […]

Read More →

Read More →

Seems the Tortoise is in the Lead #SassyMusings 6/10/14

As part of my service I  periodically tweet out market stats (such as breadth and what I am seeing etc)  throughout the day. This morning I mentioned the bifurcation in the market as breadth was lower, SPX was moving lower (even taking out the lows of the day at one point), VIX was higher and yet […]

Read More →

Read More →

Anxiety is Palpable #SassyMusings 6/9/14

By no means is it easy for me to stay long. I can feel the anxiety everywhere and I can’t pretend it doesn’t affect me. Having said that it is also what helps me stay long. I sense most people are either 1) short 2) on the sidelines waiting for a pullback 3) very very […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 6/9/14

Hope everyone is having a nice weekend. I have a lot of set-ups here. Some are swings, some a bit more short term and riskier. There are other names I am watching for short term plays, but I didn’t want to list everything because at some point it gets overwhelming. Some of these I discussed...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for Expiration 6/13/14

I’m not sure we will have the same type of momentum this week with the momo’s as last week, but I’m going to be open to it and not assume these will all hold. Regardless they can at least give us some insight. AAPL: I don’t even know why I’m posting this because we are going...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

2013 Déjà Vu

Ok so it’s not exactly like 2013 as the first half of the year was nothing short of a trap to anyone who stayed in the 2013 mentality. However, as I posted about three weeks ago, the environment was sure presenting evidence that we were going to get that type of surge. I said it […]

Read More →

Read More →

2013 Style #SassyMusings 6/5/14

For the last couple weeks I have expressed that the market felt very much like 2013 and that I was bullish. Today confirmed that. If you were long, you were paid! Now things will probably get more difficult at least while some of these gains digest. However, for now I still think we have amazing set-ups […]

Read More →

Read More →

Boolish #SassyMusings 6/4/14

I got nothing exciting to say here. Good day, great week. Swings are finally working and paying. Locked in some gains today. ECB tomorrow. I have zero clue what will happen, but I will go with the path of least resistance until that changes. So I’m boolish. People seem pretty anxious right now (anecdotal) and I […]

Read More →

Read More →

Focus on What’s Working #SassyMusings 6/3/14

Had an awesome day today. As I mentioned last week and over the weekend and in several tweets, I was seeing tons of great long swing set-ups in healthcare and industrials. I positioned myself nicely to benefit from them, which I have been since last week. So far this could still play out, which is what I wrote […]

Read More →

Read More →

Another Day for the Bulls #SassyMusings 6/2/14

I took a break from SassyMusings last week. I got lazy after having a 3-day’s off for Memorial day weekend. It happens :-). Nice day for the bulls. Morning was gross, but BTFD worked and for now I’m going with what is working. Had a couple good day trades in GS and GOOGL and put […]

Read More →

Read More →

Summer of Set-ups

The statistics state that we are about to embark on the worst two months of the year for stock returns. I say rubbish. How great would it be if Wall Street was trying to enjoy their Hampton summer homes expecting dreadful market returns in June and July only to be met with fear of missing […]

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week Starting 6/2/14

I have a fairly long list of set-ups, but after a while it gets to be too much so I tried to sort through my favorites. The market may pull back this week as we are a bit overstretched, but I don’t want to be constantly on guard for a pullback that I can’t time...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 6/6/14 Expiration

AAPL: Last week price was over the highest call open interest and we saw that it never looked back. This week it is in the middle of those two strikes. AAPL has heavy resistance around the 634 area. If it gets above there then odds are it’s going to keep going higher. If it never...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

This Time ‘IS’ Different

According to the efficient market hypothesis, no investor has an advantage in predicting a return on a stock price because no one has access to information not already available to everyone else. This year has been a frustrating one for both the bulls and bears. Regardless of the lack of returns thus far in 2014, […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 5/30/14 Expiration

Hope you are all having a good weekend. I want to be cautious with these because if momentum stocks do end  up with follow through from last week then the open interest will change. The strength could be attributed to the low volume holiday pump, but even so that could spark them to keep rallying. Also,...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week of 5/26/14

Hope everyone is having a nice long weekend. I have good news and bad news. I will start with the bad news cause I like to get it over with. The recent puts we bought we may have to finagle our way out of on any minor pull back and will likely incur some losses on...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

So is This Bearish or Just More Chop? #SassyMusings 5/20/14

Well well well, what do we have here? SPX once again remains in chop. Today was a good day and it’s because I stuck to my plan and didn’t let noise shake me out this morning (which I have done many times before). The morning was weak, but then we began to recover and I […]

Read More →

Read More →

Open Interest for 5/23/14 Expiration

Often when I look at the open interest I will see a theme, such as lots more puts or lots more calls, but it’s very mixed this week. There are a quite a few opportunities we can possibly seize on, but I think they will depend on the environment and if they trigger. The ones I think...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Set-ups for Week of 5/19/14

The direction of next week is a mystery. When I look at the indexes and the breadth indicators I am neutral to bearish; yet I have more longs on this list then shorts. That is partly because I think some industries are just doing better than others and because I don’t actually have many set-ups. I...

This content is for Sassy Premium members only.
Log In Register

Read More →

Read More →

Top