March, 2015

Open Interest for Expiration 4/02/15

Last week sure had a lot of pinning. The open interest was definitely very helpful in letting us know where stocks were very likely NOT going to go. Some of you even had some good shorts with stocks that got above their ranges. Good job on those! Last week was boring for the most part...

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Set-ups and Commentary for Week 4/30/15

Gross week in the market. I’m very happy that I took a lot of profits on the swings a week earlier and that I didn’t chase anything once I saw 211 on SPY not being able to hold. I definitely didn’t see that sizable drop coming or I would have shorted, but at least I...

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Troubled Markets Ahead

First, I just wanted to thank all of you that tuned into Fox Business during my appearance last Tuesday. I appreciate all the support I have received as the media is still very new to me. Here is a link in case you missed it. Second, I wanted to mention that I will be attending […]

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Open Interest for Expiration 3/27/15

Quad witching over, hooray! We are back to the weeklies which typically have larger changes as the week goes on. The good news is even if the market is choppy next week I see a lot of good opportunities with these momentum stocks. The open interest and the technicals have aligned well for next week and...

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Set-ups and Commentary for Week 3/23/15

Last week was an AMAZING week for us. Not only did our short term trades work very well, but the swings we bought on dips paid off handsomely. That is the thing about this market. If you buy with good timing then you can sell when others are chasing. I would like to continue this great...

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The Path of Least Resistance is Higher

Note: I will be on Fox Business Tuesday at 4:00 pm so please tune in :-). Last week here I wrote that the most likely scenario would be a choppy start to the week followed by a rally in both equites and treasuries. That was right on and those prepared for it were paid handsomely. Keeping […]

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Open Interest for Expiration 3/20/15

Monthly OPEX is upon us so expect less movement in the open interest as the week goes on because many of these puts and calls were bought over a long period of time. That also means that the likelihood of these stocks staying within their ranges or pinning is pretty good. What’s interesting about next...

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Set-ups & Commentary for Week 3/16/15

Last week I had expected us to make a lower low, which we got. I also said that I was looking for a bottom within the next couple of weeks. It’s unclear if we have hit a secure bottom yet, but from the looks of it, if we haven’t there probably isn’t much lower to...

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Have We Bottomed Yet? Next Weeks Game Plan

Last week here I wrote that we were likely to bounce, but also to make a lower low. Both did indeed take place. The question now becomes have we bottomed or is there more downside to come and if so, how far? A look at how oversold the market is: 20-day highs went below 5% which […]

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A Bounce and A Lower Low – Which Comes First?

Last week here I wrote that the most likely scenario based on the evidence was a period of consolidation and/or pullback. Based on the open interest I also discussed the drop that would likely happen if we breached the 210 level on SPY more than once. Both scenarios played out and now we find ourselves threatening […]

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Set-ups & Commentary for Week Starting 3/9/15

I was expecting some consolidation with a possible pull-back last week and we got both. I had mentioned that it would be better to buy dips than breakouts and that patience would likely be rewarded. The set-up for next week is going to be tricky as I do expect a bounce, but I also expect...

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Open Interest for Expiration 3/15/15

I mentioned last weekend that the set-up wasn’t as favorable for taking many trades and that patience was going to be key. As usual the open interest gave me many clues as to what kind of market we would be facing and it didn’t favor chasing breakouts or being too eager to buy dips. Next week...

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